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Weekly Mortgage Outlook for June 6, 2011

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There are very few notable economic events taking place this week on the Economic Calendar that might affect rates this week. Fortunately, it looks like rates will continue to sustain their current levels based on the disappointing economic data that was released last week. This provides yet another great window for being able to take advantage of the low rates that exist today but not existing in the short term future.

Disappointing Economic Data is Good For Mortgage Rates

The big news last week affecting mortgage rates was a disappointing employment report. Analysts had expected 150,000 new jobs to be created, while data came in showing that only 54,000 new jobs were actually created. There was also a higher than expected number of jobless claims, which was yet the latest in a series of reports indicating that the overall economy is weaker than had been hoped.

While the disappointing economic data continues to paint a picture of long term weakness in the overall economy, it bodes well for help mortgage rates to sustain their existing levels and even set new lows. While there has been concern that low mortgage rates could not continue at their existing levels for much longer, the data of last week has bought more time for on the fence home buyers and homeowners considering refinancing their existing mortgage.

Economic Calendar for Week of June 6, 2011

  1. Monday: Fischer and Plosser from the Fed speak
  2. Tuesday: Lockhart from the Fed speaks, Consumer Credit
  3. Wednesday: Fed Beige Book, Hoenig from the Fed speaks
  4. Thursday: Plosser from the Fed speaks, Initial Jobless Claims
  5. Friday: Dudley from the Fed speaks

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Weak Economic Data = Great Mortgage Rates

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We end this holiday week with great news for mortgage rates and bad news for the economy as a whole as several key pieces of economic data disappointed. This morning, the Employment report showed that US employers hired significantly fewer employees than expected and the jobless rate increased to 9.1%. Earlier in the week, U.S. manufacturing growth data showed manufacturing at its weakest level since September 2009.

While these numbers are not healthy for the economy as a whole, the have played an important role in helping mortgage rates move even lower. During times of economic turmoil, investors pull away from riskier investment vehicles, such as stocks and move their money into safer vehicles such as bonds. In doing so, they help drive mortgage rates lower, as was the case this week and today.

What does this mean for potential home buyers and those looking to refinance their existing mortgage? The window to get into record low rates has been extended, which means there may be no better time than now to see how we can help you with our existing mortgage or new home purchase.

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Must Read: Mortgage Rate Update and Housing Data News

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Employment Situation Report Set to Move Mortgage Rates

On Friday morning, the Employment Situation Report or Jobs Report will be released. While not the only economic report coming out this week (see Economic Calendar below), it presents the highest risk to mortgage rates and may set a tone moving forward as to which way mortgage rates will move. The report will not only give valuable guidance on the future of mortgage rates but the broader economy as well. This may mean that now is an ideal time for homeowners or potential buyers to lock in already low mortgage rates.

Economic Calendar for Week of 5/30/2011

  • Wednesday, June 1, 2011:  ADP National Employment Report and ISM Index
  • Thursday, June 2, 2011:  Initial Jobless Claims and Productivity
  • Friday, June 3, 2011: Employment Situation Report and ISM Service Index

New Lows For Home Prices

According to the newly released March S&P / Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, national home prices hit a new low in the first quarter of 2011, reaching index levels not seen since 2002. This means that consumers that have been contemplating buying a home have one of the best opportunities in the last decade to purchase a home.

From the Standard & Poor Press Release:

The U.S. National Home Price Index declined by 4.2% in the first quarter of 2011, after having fallen 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2010. The National Index hit a new recession low with the first quarter’s data and posted an annual decline of 5.1% versus the first quarter of 2010. Nationally, home prices are back to their mid-2002 levels.

Twelve of the 20 MSAs and the 20-City Composite also posted new index lows in March. With an index value of 138.16, the 20-City Composite fell below its earlier reported April 2009 low of 139.26. Minneapolis posted a double-digit 10.0% annual decline, the first market to be back in this territory since March 2010 when Las Vegas was down 12.0% on an annual basis.

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Mortgage News Wrap-Up: Memorial Day Weekend 2011

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As was expected, trading volume in the bond markets was minimal today as traders leave early for the Holiday weekend and the bond markets closed early at 2:00 PM EST.

This week was marked by interesting new regarding FHA loan requirements, low trading volume, interesting Foreclosure data from the first quarter and a new HAMP NPV website that enables homeowners to run their own HAMP tests.

New Proposed Guidelines For FHA Mortgages

House Republicans have proposed legislation that would raise the FHA minimum down payment from 3.5% to 5.0%. Additionally, they have indicated that they believe that FHA Borrowers should not be able to finance their closing costs into their loan. While FHA maximum loan limits are scheduled to fall in October, they also believe that the current adjustments will not be enough and that they should be lowered even more.

If the suggested proposals are enacted, prospective home buyers will be looking at significantly higher costs when purchasing a home with an FHA mortgage. This is yet another reason to take advantage of the low rates and advantageous FHA options that are available now.

Foreclosure Home Present Buying Opportunity for Many, today released its Q1 2011 U.S. Foreclosure Sales Report, which shows that sales of bank-owned homes and other foreclosure properties accounted for 28 percent of all U.S. residential sales in the first quarter of 2011. This figure is up slightly from 27 percent of all sales in the fourth quarter of 2010 and the highest percentage of sales since the first quarter of 2010, when 29 percent of all sales were foreclosure sales.

RealtyTrac reported that Arizona, Nevada and California had the highest percentage of foreclosure sales, with California accounting for 45% of all Residential sales. Ohio, Illinois and Kentucky posted the highest foreclosure discounts.

Ohio foreclosures sold for an average discount of 41 percent in the first quarter, the biggest discount percentage of any state.

U.S. Treasury and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Unveil New HAMP NPV Website

Until the launch of, homeowners that have been struggling with their housing payments have been in the dark about how to calculate the Net Present Value of their home. solves this problem by giving consumers tools to check their NPV and help better understand their standing in relation to a loan modification request. is a free tool provided by the United States Department of the Treasury, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development in conjunction with the Obama Administration’s Making Home Affordable Program. provides only an estimate of a mortgage servicer’s NPV evaluation. While the NPV formula used on is required to be the same as that of your mortgage servicer’s, differences in input data and other industry-related data may result in different outputs. After using, it is recommended that you save a copy of the evaluation and share it with your mortgage servicer to discuss options available to you.

Mortgage Opportunity and Window Timeline

There is a clear window of opportunity that may close sooner rather than later with existing rates and programs. This means that now is a great time for us to help answer questions you might have about a refinance or purchase and determine whether or not now is the time for action.

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How Much Money Do You Need to Buy a Home?

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One of the biggest concerns of first time home buyers when they’re looking at getting their first mortgage is just how much money they’re going to require. Qualifying for a mortgage is the first step in the process, but it is important to understand if you will need cash for your purchase and if so, how much.

Understanding what you’ll be responsible for paying for in cash is good information to have before you even submit a mortgage application. The specific costs can vary depending upon the state that you live in, the cost of your home and to other factors, but here are some basic things to consider that should be considered.

Down Payment Required for a Mortgage

In order to qualify for a mortgage, you will likely have to produce a down payment. The specific amount required for a down payment depends upon state guidelines as well as the type of loan. FHA mortgage loans offer the competitive down payment options for those who qualify, requiring under 3.5% of the purchase price down.

Mortgage Closing Costs

In addition to requiring money for your mortgage down payment, you’ll need to save money for closing costs. This is something that you may be able to get paid by the seller of your new home, but as this is not something that is guaranteed, it is wise to have some money on hand to pay for all of the costs of purchasing a home that cannot be rolled into your mortgage. If you present a mortgage lender an offer that does not include closing costs covered by the seller, often as a first time home buyer, you are required to prove that you have the money to cover them. Depending on your local market environment and location, 3% to 6% of the purchase price may be a fair estimate for your closing costs, and somewhere in this range is what a mortgage lender will typically need to confirm.

Target Purchase Price and Other Considerations

Since the location, cost and your unique financial and credit attributes can affect what you will need to put down when you purchase a home, we can help you better understand the estimated amount that you’ll need to pay when buying a home. More importantly,  we can help you understand and target the home purchase price that suits your specific needs an finances so you can be prepared in advance to make your first home purchase!

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Mortgage Rate Outlook for Week of 5/23/2011

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While rates have come down in the past month, mortgage rates this week may affected by multiple bond auctions that are taking place, any of which can sway the market dependent on their volume.  For this reason, the market will be moving forward with less certainty, which makes this week a great week to lock in rates to insure you benefit from downward movement of late.

As we head into a holiday weekend with Memorial Day Weekend approaching, many market participants will be leaving early on Friday, which all but insures weak trading volume which can cause erratic movement in bonds up or down.

Market Calendar for the Week of 5/23/2011

  • Monday: 6 month bill auction
  • Tuesday : New Home Sales, Rosengren, Hoenig, Bullard and Plosser from the Fed speak
  • Wednesday : 5 Year Note Auction, Durable Goods, FHFA Home Price Index
  • Thursday :  Jobless Claims, GDP, Money Supply
  • Friday : Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment, Pending Home Sales Index

Simplifying GFE and TIL Disclosures:

It’s easy to become confused when getting a new mortgage due to the volume of paperwork involved. Adding to this confusion are a number of recent government regulations that have been implemented that are increasing confusion when their intent is the opposite. According to Elizabeth Warren, Special Adviser to the Secretary of the Treasury for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau:

“A simple, straightforward and consistent presentation of a credit agreement is the best way to level the playing field between consumers and lenders – and among different types of lenders – and foster honest competition.”

To help create an easier to understand experience for consumers, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has created a website where you can give feedback. Simply view their site and follow the instructions to help give them feedback on your preferences.

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How Recent Market Changes Can Affect You

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As the Real Estate and financial markets continue to move up and down, mortgage rates can also be affected. Since mortgage rates are more closely tied to the bond markets, an up or down move in the stock market may not have the result in mortgage rates that one might expects. In fact, many times the resulting mortgage rate changes are counter-intuitive.

More importantly, rates change daily and they can change quickly. Some mortgage professionals have recently noted that their rate quotes have only had shelf lives of three to four hours before market changes have deemed them inaccurate.

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How does a consumer navigate fast changing markets in order to refinance their existing loan or purchase a home with the most favorable terms possible?

  1. Plan – Define your needs ahead of time, do not wait until the last minute. This is especially true of home purchases.
  2. Consult – Talk to your mortgage professional on a regular basis so they can interpret recent market events to you and communicate how those events can affect you.
  3. Execute – When you have defined your needs and have determined that now is the best time to move forward, don’t shop yourself out of a good loan! What does this mean? It is easy to get caught up in shopping for the best rate, but it is not uncommon for home owners to miss locking their loan at a great rate because they are in search of better rates that do not exist or that they do not qualify for. It is important to shop to insure you are getting the best rate possible, but set limits to the number of companies you are going to consider doing business with and be careful of having your credit report needlessly and more times than is necessary!


Is an FHA Loan Right For Me?

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FHA Loan FactorsWith the resurgence of FHA home loans, many home owners are wondering if they can benefit from an FHA loan. The truth is that you may or may not benefit by converting your existing loan into an FHA loan when you refinance.

Some of the factors that can determine if an FHA loan is right for you:

  • Loan To Value
  • Home Value
  • Size of Existing Loan
  • Credit Score
  • Amount of Cash You Want to Take Out

With the many changes that have occurred with FHA loans, it is possible that even if you didn’t qualify six months ago, there may be a loan program that is right for you.

One of our mortgage professionals can help you determine if an FHA loan is right for you quickly with no costs.

Home Purchase Loan Tips

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boyIf you are thinking about purchasing a new home, don’t wait until you find the perfect home to get prequalified! Make sure your credit is healthy and find out how much you can qualify for before you find the home of your dreams. This helps insure that you not only choose a home in the right price range, but help avoid falling in love with a home that you can’t afford!

Another great reason to get quaified as early in the process as possible is to insure the fastest closing possible. If there are multiple offers going in on a home, you may be at a disadvantage if you are not able to secure financing quickly. Don’t wait until the last minute!

We have home purchase specialists standing by that can give you FREE home purchase finance advice. Feel free to request a FREE Rate Quote or to Contact Us directly.

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